THE CHINA-SPACE-SEA-IRAQ PROBLEM IN A NUTSHELL: China is moving toward a space warfare capability. . . . The threat to China is the U.S. Navy. . . . The U.S. Navy could interdict China's movement of goods far more readily than China could interdict American movement of goods. . . . China may not be able to control the sea itself, but it cannot live forever with U.S. control. Therefore, it requires a sea-lane-denial strategy. . . . Pursuing a conventional naval strategy will not provide a strategic solution for China within a reasonable time frame. . . . Take out the space-based systems and the efficiency of the [U.S.] Navy plummets dramatically. . . . From the Chinese point of view, the denial of space to the United States would undermine American denial of the seas to China. . . . One of the greatest prices of the Iraq war is . . . the fact that it makes it impossible for the U.S. military to allocate resources for emerging threats. . . [such as the] palpable challenge being posed by China in space. -- George Friedman, Stratfor Geopolitical Intelligence Report, 1/23/07